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Validation for revision of the stage IIIA(T1N2) in the forthcoming ninth edition of the TNM classification for lung cancer
BMC Cancer volume 25, Article number: 446 (2025)
Abstract
Objectives
The 9th edition of the lung cancer tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) staging system downgrades certain non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients from stage IIIA (T1N2) to IIB(T1N2a). This study aimed to externally validate this stage adjustment.
Methods
Consecutive resected stage IIB and IIIA (the 9th edition of lung cancer TNM staging manual) NSCLC patients were included. Stage IIB was divided into groups A, B, and C according to lymph node involvement. Group A, patients who having single-station N2 without N1 involvement; Group B, patients who having single-station N2 with N1 involvements; Group C, patients who having station N1 involvement or N0. The stage IIIA patients divided into Group D. Overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) were compared using the Kaplan-Meier method, with propensity score matching (PSM) employed to mitigate potential biases. COX regression models were utilized to assess prognostic differences.
Results
224 stage IIB and 227 stage IIIA cases was included. There were 38, 66 and 120 patients in the Group A, B and C, respectively. Univariate COX analysis indicated comparable prognoses between the Group A and Group C patients, whereas Group B patients exhibited poorer outcomes. Upon combining the Group A and Group C patients, multivariate COX analysis demonstrated a significantly worse prognosis for Group B patients compared to those with Group A + C patients (OS, P = 0.035; DFS, P = 0.021). Further comparisons between Group B and Group D patients, following PSM analysis, indicated similar survivals (OS: P = 0.390; DFS: P = 0.210).
Conclusion
In the 9th edition of the lung cancer TNM staging system, the prognosis of stage IIB N2a2 patients was worse than that of remaining stage IIB patients but comparable to that of stage IIIA patients. We proposed that stage IIB N2a2 patients should be maintained as stage IIIA.
Introduction
Lung cancer is the most malignant tumor with the highest incidence and mortality in the world [1]. Non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) constitutes approximately 85% of cases [2]. The lung cancer tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) staging manual, proposed by the International Association for the Study of Lung Cancer, serves as the cornerstone for the standardized treatment of patients with NSCLC [3, 4].
In 2024, the 9th edition of TNM staging manual for lung cancer [3] was released, maintaining the existing T staging without alterations. However, notable updates were made to N staging, introducing N2 sub-categories (N2a: single-station N2 metastasis; N2b: multi-station N2 metastasis) [3]. Additionally, the M staging was further refined, with M1c now subdivided into M1c1 (multiple extra-thoracic metastases in one organ) and M1c2 (multiple extra-thoracic metastases in multiple organs) [3, 5]. From the TNM staging standpoint, T1N1, formerly assigned to stage IIB, has been reclassified to stage IIA. Conversely, T1N2, previously designated as stage IIIA, has been subdivided into T1N2a (stage IIB) and T1N2b (stage IIIA) [3].
The revisions introduced in the latest staging edition necessitate external validation to confirm their accuracy and generalizability. Within this manuscript, we direct our attention to a specific subgroup of patients transitioning from stage IIIA to IIB (T1N2a). Previous studies suggested that skip N2 metastasis is associated with improved survivals in N2 lung cancer [6,7,8,9]. Therefore, we further separated stage IIB patients into three subgroups: Group A, patients who having single-station N2 without N1 involvement; Group B, patients who having single-station N2 with N1 involvements; Group C, patients who having station N1 involvement or N0. In this study, we set out to investigate potential prognostic differences among stage IIB NSCLC patients and further externally validate the stage IIB classification in the 9th edition of lung cancer TNM staging manual.
Materials and methods
Study population
We systematically reviewed the clinical records of 7,931 patients diagnosed with pulmonary malignant tumors in our department between 1999 and 2018 (PKUPHTOI dataset). This well-managed dataset has been used before [10,11,12,13]. Inclusion criteria were as follows: (1) Diagnosis of NSCLC; (2) Underwent surgical resection; (3) stages IIB and IIIA (the 9th edition of lung cancer TNM staging manual). Exclusion criteria comprised: (1) Age < 18 years; (2) Presence of N3 disease; (3) Presence of M1 disease; (4) R1/R2 resection; (5) Su-blobar resection; (6) Non-systematic lymph node dissection; (7) Primary lung cancer; (8) Receipt of neoadjuvant therapy; (9) History of previous malignancies; (10) Unavailability of clinicopathological data. Finally, a total of 2051 eligible patients were enrolled, including 224 stage IIB patients and 227 stage IIIA patients. Figure 1 illustrates the patient selection process. Based on the lymph node metastasis status, the stage IIB patients were further divided into three categories: Group A, Group B, and Group C. The stage IIIA patients divided into Group D.
Surgical procedure
We included only patients who underwent radical surgical resection and systemic mediastinal lymph node dissection to ensure accurate N staging. The standard protocol of surgery was similar to the one previously described by Xu et.al [14]. Systemic lymphadenectomy was defined as mediastinal lymph node dissection of at least 3 stations, including station 7 (the subcarinal lymph node), from station 4 L, 5, 6, 7, 8 and 9 for the left-side NSCLCs and station 2R, 3 A, 4R, 7, 8 and 9 for the right-side NSCLCs. In addition, at least 6 lymph nodes were harvested. As for N1 station lymph nodes, in routine, the station 10, 11 and 12 were dissected intraoperatively. The station 13 and 14 lymph nodes were dissected by resident doctors from the excised specimen, but this procedure was not mandatory.
Follow-up
Routine follow-up strategies were conducted as previously reported [12]. Follow-up data were collected through medical record reviews, patient consultations, and telephonic interviews. Our center adheres to a rigorous postoperative follow-up protocol, involving assessments every three months during the initial two years post-surgery, biannually for the subsequent three to five years, and annually thereafter. Each follow-up includes physical examinations, serum tumor marker monitoring, and chest CT scans, with additional imaging performed as clinically indicated. The primary endpoints of this study were overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS). OS was defined as the period from the date of diagnosis to all-cause death or the date of last follow-up. DFS was defined as the period from the date of diagnosis to the date of disease recurrence, death or the last follow-up.
Statistical analysis
Statistical analysis was conducted using IBM SPSS Statistics (version 27.0.1, IBM Corp, Armonk, NY, USA) and R version 4.3.1 (The R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria; http://www.r-project.org). Categorical variables were presented as frequencies and percentages and compared using Pearson’s chi-square test or Fisher’s exact test. The Shapiro-Wilk test was utilized to assess whether data follows a normal distribution. Non-normally distributed continuous variables were described using medians and ranges and compared using the Mann-Whitney U test. Survival rates were assessed using the Kaplan-Meier method and the log-rank test. Bonferroni’s adjustment was applied in comparisons involving multiple subgroups in the 1:1 analysis. To mitigate bias arising from disparate baseline characteristics, one-to-one propensity score matching (PSM) was performed utilizing the R package “MatchIt” (method = nearest, replace = FALSE). Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis (forced enter method) was employed to explore the prognostic factors, with hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) serving as statistical indicators to ascertain independent prognostic factors. The proportional hazards assumption was checked using the Schoenfeld residuals. A two-tailed P value < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.
Results
Clinicopathological characteristics
Based on the aforementioned inclusion and exclusion criteria, a total of 2,051 eligible patients were identified, among which 224 were classified as stage IIB and 227 were classified as stage IIIA. There were 38 patients in Group A, 66 in Group B, and 120 in Group C. The clinicopathological characteristics of the stage IIB patients are summarized in Table 1. The median age was 63 years (range: 32–86 years), with a predominance of male patients (72.8%). Patients in the Group B exhibited a higher incidence of adenocarcinoma histology (P < 0.001), VPI (P = 0.02), LVI (P = 0.001), and postoperative complications (P = 0.007) compared to the other two subgroups. Additionally, a higher proportion of patients in the Group B received postoperative adjuvant therapy (P = 0.004).
Patients in Group B and D were matched using PSM method, resulting in 66 well-matched pairs. The clinicopathological characteristics between Group B and Group D patients were well balanced after PSM (Table 2).
Prognosis analysis
Pairwise comparisons of survival among Groups A, B, and C using Kaplan-Meier and Bonferroni correction showed that Group B patients had the worst OS (5-years OS rate: 73.0% vs. 59.5% vs. 62.7%, P = 0.078, Fig. 2A; 5-years DFS rate: 65.5% vs. 35.5% vs. 56.6%, P = 0.007, Fig. 2B), while there was no difference in either OS or DFS between Group A and Group C patients (5-years OS rate: P = 0.439; 5-years DFS rate: P = 0.398). These results were further supported by univariate results (OS: Fig. 2C; DFS: Fig. 2D).
Kaplan–Meier estimates of survivals and univariate Cox analysis of stage IIB patients (Group A vs. Group B vs. Group C). (A) overall survival curves; (B) disease-free survival curves; (C) forest plot: univariate Cox analysis of overall survival; and (D) forest plot: univariate Cox analysis of disease-free survival. HR: hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval; Group A, patients who having single-station N2 without N1 involvement; Group B, patients who having single-station N2 with N1 involvements; Group C, patients who having station N1 involvement or N0
Based on the aforementioned findings, we further combined Group A and Group C into Group A + C, again compared with Group B, showing a significant difference in both DFS and OS between these two groups (5-year OS rate: 65.2% vs. 59.5%, P = 0.03, Fig. 3A; 5-year DFS rate: 58.8% vs. 35.5%, P = 0.002, Fig. 3B). The Cox analysis (Univariable: Table S1; Multivariable: Table S2) further confirmed that patients in the Group A + C had better prognosis than those in Group B (OS HR: 1.556, P = 0.035, Fig. 3C, Table S1; DFS HR: 1.626, P = 0.021; Fig. 3D, Table S2).
Kaplan–Meier estimates of survivals and multivariate Cox analysis of stage IIB patients (Group A + C vs. Group B). Considering the similar prognosis between patients in the Group A and Group C, we combined these two groups into a single group: Group A + C. (A) overall survival curves; (B) disease-free survival curves; (C) forest plot: multivariate Cox analysis of overall survival; and (D) forest plot: multivariate Cox analysis of disease-free survival. HR: hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval; Group A, patients who having single-station N2 without N1 involvement; Group B, patients who having single-station N2 with N1 involvements; Group C, patients who having station N1 involvement or N0
Prognostic comparisons between Group B and Group D patients
The survival outcomes of patients in the Group B and D were compared. Before PSM, there was no significant disparity in survivals between these two groups (OS: P = 0.727, Fig. 4A; DFS: P = 0.482, Fig. 4B). After PSM, the survival rates between the two groups remained statistically similar (5-year OS rate: 59.5% vs. 56.4%, P = 0.390, Fig. 4C; 5-year DFS: 35.5% vs. 46.2%, P = 0.210 Fig. 4D). Univariate Cox analysis further indicated no significant differences in OS and DFS between the two groups (OS:P = 0.391, Fig. 5A, Table S3; DFS:P = 0.212, Fig. 5B, Table S4).
Kaplan–Meier estimates of survivals differences between Group B and Group D patients both before PSM and after PSM. (A) overall survival before PSM; (B) disease-free survival before PSM; (C) overall survival after PSM; and (D) disease-free survival after PSM. PSM, propensity score matching; Group B, patients who having single-station N2 with N1 involvements; Group D: stage IIIA patients
Discussion
Our research team possesses a wealth of experience in the refinement of lung cancer TNM staging, having actively contributed to the advancement of previous iterations [13, 15,16,17,18,19,20,21]. We have previously observed variations in prognosis among NSCLC patients within the same TNM stage [16,17,18,19]. In this study, we aimed to assess prognostic differences among NSCLC patients in different stage IIB subgroups based on the 9th edition TNM staging criteria. Our findings revealed that the prognosis of stage IIB N2a2 (single-station N2 with N1 involvements) patients were significantly inferior to that of other stage IIB patients but comparable to that of stage IIIA patients. Consequently, we proposed that part of stage IIB (N2a2) patients should be maintained as stage IIIA. However, further validation is warranted to corroborate our conclusion.
As of now, there has been no research exploring and validating the rationality of downstaging certain patients, such as T1N2a patients, in the 9th edition TNM staging criteria. Our study specifically focuses on this patient subset and utilizes our center’s well-maintained data to validate this new staging adjustment. Following rigorous statistical analyses including multivariate Cox analysis and PSM, our study innovatively proposed that patients with T1N2a1 diseases should indeed be down-staged to stage IIB, consistent with the 9th edition TNM staging criteria. However, patients with T1N2a2 diseases should remain classified as stage IIIA. Our research holds significant clinical implications, as accurate TNM staging constitutes the fundamental cornerstone for guiding subsequent patient management strategies. Our findings raise the possibility that certain NSCLC patients classified as stage IIB according to the 9th edition TNM staging criteria may be underestimated. The imprecise staging might ultimately have detrimental effects on their treatment and surveillance. For instance, in clinical practice, when physicians encounter patients with stage T1N2a2, they classify these patients as stage IIB. Relative to the previous classification as stage IIIA, clinicians might incline toward recommending less aggressive treatment modalities and less intensive surveillance strategies to these patients. However, such approaches may unfavorably impact the prognosis of these individuals.
In previous studies, several clinical series have reported the favorable prognosis of skip metastasis (N2a1) [6,7,8,9]. Therefore, it is necessary to further investigate the prognosis of patients with skip metastasis (N2a1) and sequential metastasis (N2a2) among those diagnosed with stage IIB (N2a). Our results were consistent with prior studies that the prognostic outcomes of N2a1 patients resembled those of other stage IIB patients, which underscored the legitimacy of downstaging such individuals from stage IIIA to stage IIB. For the observed phenomenon of better prognosis in N2a1 patients compared to poorer prognosis in N2a2 patients, our interpretations were as follows: (1) patients with N2a2 status typically harbored a greater tumor burden, a factor previously associated with poorer prognosis in existing literature [6, 9, 22]; (2) due to incomplete lymph node dissection or limitations in pathological diagnostic techniques, N2a2 patients may indeed present with multi-station N2 lymph node involvements. However, given our stringent inclusion criteria, which exclusively included patients undergoing systematic lymph node dissection, coupled with the esteemed reputation of our pathology department as one of the premier medical pathology centers in mainland China, the likelihood of this scenario is considered minimal; (3) the occurrence of skip metastasis (N2a1) is attributed to several factors. One of the main reasons is the anatomical connectivity within the lymphatic system [23, 24]. Abundant lymphatic vessels and networks beneath the pleura provide a direct pathway for tumor cells to bypass the intrapulmonary and hilar lymph nodes, draining directly into the ipsilateral mediastinal lymph nodes. In theory, without these direct pathways, tumors may only metastasize to the hilar lymph nodes, failing to extend to the mediastinal lymph nodes. Therefore, N2a1 and N1 patients might have similar prognosis.
Our study had several limitations that warrant consideration. Firstly, it was a single-center retrospective study, inherently susceptible to bias. Secondly, although this study utilized a large dataset spanning nearly 20 years, the stringent inclusion and exclusion criteria resulted in a relatively small sample size within the stage IIB subgroups. This is undoubtedly a significant limitation of our study, as it potentially limits the statistical power of our results. Therefore, our conclusions require further validation by additional studies. Future research with larger sample sizes across multiple centers is necessary to strengthen the findings. Lastly, it remains uncertain whether the conclusions drawn from our exploration of pathological staging in this article are equally applicable to clinical staging. Our database lacks detailed records of clinical lymph node metastasis. Therefore, more detailed data are needed to validate our findings.
Conclusion
In conclusion, our study indicated that the prognosis of stage IIB (N2a2) patients was inferior to that of other stage IIB patients but comparable to that of stage IIIA patients. Thus, we propose to retain classification IIB (N2a2) in stage IIIA. However, our conclusions warranted further validations.
Data availability
The data underlying this article will be shared on reasonable request to the corresponding author.
Abbreviations
- ASA:
-
American society of anesthesiologist physical status classification system;
- BMI:
-
Body mass index;
- CI:
-
Confidence interval
- DFS:
-
Disease-free survival
- HR:
-
Hazard ratio;
- LVI:
-
Lymphovascular invasion;
- N2a1:
-
Single-station N2 without N1 involvement;
- N2a2:
-
Single-station N2 with N1 involvement;
- NSCLC:
-
Non-small cell lung cancer
- OS:
-
Overall survival
- PSM:
-
Propensity score matching
- TNM:
-
Tumor node-metastasis
- VPI:
-
Visceral pleural invasion;
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Funding
This work was supported by Research Unit of Intelligence Diagnosis and Treatment in Early Non-small Cell Lung Cancer, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences (2021RU002); CAMS Innovation Fund for Medical Sciences (CIFMS, 2022-I2M-C&T-B-120) and the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.92059203).
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(I) Conception and design: Ke-Zhong Chen and Jing-Sheng Cai (II) Administrative support: Ke-Zhong Chen, Yun Li and Rong-Jing Xie (III) Provision of study materials or patients: Tong Wu and Jing-Sheng Cai (IV) Collection and assembly of data: Tong Wu and Jing-Sheng Cai (V) Data analysis and interpretation: Tong Wu and Jing-Sheng Cai (VI) Manuscript writing: Tong Wu and Jing-Sheng Cai (VII) Final approval of manuscript: All authors.
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This study was approved by the Ethics Committee of Peking University People’s Hospital. Given the anonymized patient data and retrospective design, written informed consent was not required for this study.
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Our study has been accepted as Mini Oral of the IASLC 2024 World Conference on Lung Cancer (WCLC 2024).
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Wu, T., Cai, J., Li, Y. et al. Validation for revision of the stage IIIA(T1N2) in the forthcoming ninth edition of the TNM classification for lung cancer. BMC Cancer 25, 446 (2025). https://doi.org/10.1186/s12885-024-13364-6
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12885-024-13364-6